Value over volume – Large deals press ahead, despite overall dip in Italian deal volume

Italy saw €29.1bn worth of M&A activity in Q1-Q3 of 2020, a rise of 11% on the same period the year before, even as volume dropped by 32%. The rise in deal value stands in contrast to M&A activity in the wider EU – EU countries plus the UK saw total value of €383.3bn in the first three quarters of 2020, an 11% decrease compared to the same period in 2019

 

Highlights from the report include:

 

  • M&A activity dominated by deals at the top end of the market. Italian M&A value witnessed a YoY rise across Q1-Q3 2020, even as volume dropped, with 318 deals worth €29.1bn representing a 32% fall by volume, but a 11% increase by value. The rise in deal value is largely due to an increase in higher value deals. There were seven €1bn+ deals announced in the first nine months of the year, including the largest deal of the year so far: The €7.7bn acquisition of Fibercop by a consortium led by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts and Telecom Italia in the TMT space.
  • PE value shoots up, while volume falls. Following much the same pattern as M&A activity as a whole, PE deal activity was also dominated by large deals. 88 PE deals were struck between Q1-Q3 – a 25% drop by volume – while value rose by 141% to €15.6bn compared to the same period last year. This is higher than 2019’s overall PE value which reached €11.8bn.
  • The consumer sector looks set to return to the fore as better management of the pandemic sparks anticipation of a rebound. The outlook for 2021 is far more promising than it was six months ago with dealmaking activity in Q3 allowing for cautious optimism, particularly for the consumer sector. Between April and October, Mergermarket published 243 ‘companies for sale’ stories in Italy, with the consumer sector accounting for 87 of these. The next most popular sectors were TMT and industrials and chemicals, accounting for 36 stories each.
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